There is information in the stope of the US treasury yield curve, but I think that we need to use it with caution. In my view, the flattening of the yield curve in the last two years has been more ...

The US market consensus believes the country has avoided recession, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes showing strong performance. However, yield curves remain deeply inverted, which traditionally ...

Every yield curve "situation" has a series of people explaining why the yield curve doesn't matter this time, or arguing over which specific yield curve to care about. See thread and charts below.

It is no secret that the bond market is the most important in the world. The well-oiled market machine burns debt as a fuel. But when you look inside, you realize that it is intermingled with yield ...

North American yield curves are experiencing the steepest inversion of the last 3 decades, while European yield curves have flattened significantly in 2022. In the world of fixed income investing, ...

Short-term rates may fall more quickly than long-term rates, according to Invesco, which expects long-end yields to remain under upward pressure.

Later in this article, I will display a chart revealing a consistent pattern of when a recession is most likely to begin. From a trader's viewpoint, pattern recognition is essential for successful ...

Earlier this year I wrote the article, “Does An Inverted Yield Curve Mean I Should Get Out Of The Markets?” in which I made these important points: Any indicator which can be manipulated by the ...

SAN FRANCISCO/NEW YORK (Reuters) - A closely watched section of the U.S. yield curve inverted on Wednesday for the first time in over 12 years, rattling investors already worried that a U.S.-China ...

There is much talk these days about the yield curve, and what its shape can tell us about the future of markets. I will not review the analytics of the curve because it is exhaustively covered in the ...

A version of this article was published in the November 2015 issue of Morningstar ETFInvestor. Download a complimentary copy of ETFInvestor here. Flaw of Averages Duration, by itself, is a crude ...