Mathematicians rely on numbers, but finding words to explain different levels of certainty has stymied everyone from the ...

Abstract: The article aims to explore certain reliability probability models using a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampler. There are some concerns with the classic HMC samplers. A notable aspect of ...

Contributions from the sensitivity analysis of the parameters of the linear programming model for the elicitation of experts' beliefs are presented. The process allows for the calibration of the ...

Driving my daughter to school, we were discussing a classic probability question: “What are the odds a 4‑digit license plate has at least one repeated digit?” Listing cases gets messy fast (first two ...

GENEVA, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Leading AI assistants misrepresent news content in nearly half their responses, according to new research published on Wednesday by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and ...

A variation of a puzzle called the “pick-up sticks problem” asks the following question: If I have some number of sticks with random lengths between 0 and 1, what are the chances that no three of ...

A focus on the tariff’s impact on Apple specifically, and how Apple itself contributed to China’s technological development. Subscribe to Stratechery Plus for full access. A weekly podcast from Andrew ...