Discover how credibility theory helps actuaries use historical data to estimate risks and set insurance premiums; learn how ...

Discover how the Dutch Book Theorem reveals profit opportunities in betting and finance when probabilities are misjudged.

Background Annually, 4% of the global population undergoes non-cardiac surgery, with 30% of those patients having at least ...

Abstract: Conventional neural network-based machine learning algorithms often encounter difficulties in data-limited scenarios or where interpretability is critical. Conversely, Bayesian ...

A team of international physicists has brought Bayes’ centuries-old probability rule into the quantum world. By applying the “principle of minimum change” — updating beliefs as little as possible ...

Physicists have derived a quantum version of Bayes’ rule, revealing how beliefs and probabilities update in the quantum realm with potential applications in computing and beyond. Credit: Shutterstock ...

Quantum machine learning (QML) is an emerging research field that deals with quantum algorithms for data analysis. It is hoped that QML will yield practical demonstrations of quantum advantage by ...

Abstract: Intelligent systems could be increasingly powerful by applying probabilistic inferences over the dependence relations among observed and latent variables, which could be represented by the ...

An official report into last year’s yacht tragedy, which killed seven, found that the boat could easily capsize in high winds. Its towering mast made it more vulnerable. By Jeffrey Gettleman and James ...

Objectives: We aimed to clarify the influence of facial expressions on providing early recognition and diagnosis of Parkinson’s disease (PD). Methods: We included 18 people with PD and 18 controls.

Comparing composite models for multi-component observational data is a prevalent scientific challenge. When fitting composite models, there exists the potential for systematics from a poor fit of one ...