Weekly Treasury Simulation, January 9, 2026: 50,000 No-Arbitrage Heath-Jarrow-Morton Yield Scenarios

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...
IEEE

Distribution-Free Probability Density Forecast Through Deep Neural Networks

Abstract: Probability density forecast offers the whole distributions of forecasting targets, which brings greater flexibility and practicability than the other probabilistic forecast models such as ...

Understanding Binomial Trees: Definitions, Examples, and Calculations

Explore the binomial tree model's use in option pricing, its workings, and examples. Learn how this model estimates intrinsic ...
BMJ Global Health

Public preferences and decision-making for mpox vaccination in the African region: a multinational discrete choice experiment

Introduction After the WHO prequalified the first vaccine against mpox, we aimed to identify the influence of vaccine ...

Weekly Treasury Simulation, January 2, 2026: Measuring The Term Premium In U.S. Treasuries

Treasury yield simulations project 3‑month bills at 1%–2% in 10 years; curves show widening risk premiums, inversion odds and ...
Investopedia

Understanding Subjective Probability: Definitions and Examples

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...