Why Pharma Boards Confuse Scenario Models With Risk Measurements

You cannot see that decision when the base case and scenario are mashed into one frightening total. The board needs cleaner ...

Why Scientists Retired the Dire Climate Scenario Used for Over a Decade

While global warming is still a threat, the decision to back away from a worst-case outlook raises questions about whether ...
MIT Technology Review

All together now: the most trustworthy covid-19 model is an ensemble

Combining a multitude of predictions and projections, modeling teams hone the uncertainty. Earlier this spring, a paper studying covid forecasting appeared on the medRxiv preprint server with an ...
The Conversation

Pooling multiple models during COVID‑19 pandemic provided more reliable projections about an uncertain future

How can anyone decide on the best course of action in a world full of unknowns? There are few better examples of this challenge than the COVID-19 pandemic, when officials fervently compared potential ...