One day in early May, web-based prediction market platform Kalshi listed two contracts tied to Compass Pathways’ psilocybin ...

History is littered with scientific ideas that sounded ridiculous, even to experts, before reality caught up. From wild forecasts about space travel to theories that rewrote maps and medical textbooks ...

CNBC is partnering with prediction site Kalshi to integrate its data, starting in 2026. Kalshi and Polymarket have become popular by letting users make money by trading futures contracts. Some state ...

Mathematicians may have a better way to measure agreement across different datasets. Agreement affects reproducibility, meta-analysis, and prediction to fill in missing data points. We need a more ...

The gambling industry has been actively voicing its concern about the encroachment of prediction markets on sports betting. Critics say prediction markets are little more but sports betting with some ...

Polymarket’s decentralized forecasting has caught Wall Street’s eye. The New York Stock Exchange’s parent, Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE:ICE), made a headline-grabbing US$2 billion investment last ...

A new technology designed to bring empirical precision to sports predictions is on the horizon. According to the Founder of City Rebels Predictions (CRSPredictions), Osifeso Olamiji, the innovation ...

Prediction markets generate probabilities for specific events through participant trading. A contract at 65 cents implies a 65% probability. These markets cover Federal Reserve rate decisions, ...

A S AN UNEASY truce holds between America and Iran, experts are struggling to predict what new phase the conflict may enter ...